Personal information

Biography

My research focuses on applying and developing statistical machine learning techniques for the broader and messier world of science and public policy, especially global health. I develop flexible and scalable models for understanding various spatiotemporal data, for example, epidemics (COVID-19, Malaria, HIV) and crime. For my doctorate, I built models for understanding the evolution of popularity in social media. My work focused on algorithms to model point processes with classical machine learning techniques as well as using modern deep learning networks, mainly recurrent networks.

Activities

Employment (6)

Københavns Universitet: København K, DK

Employment
Source: check_circle
University of Copenhagen

Imperial College London: London, GB

Employment
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Imperial College London

National University of Singapore: Singapore, SG

2023-01-30 to present | Assistant Professor (Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health)
Employment
Source: Self-asserted source
Swapnil Mishra

University of Copenhagen: Copenhagen, DK

2021-11-01 to 2023-01-19 | Assistant Professor (Department of Public Health)
Employment
Source: Self-asserted source
Swapnil Mishra

Imperial College London: London, London, GB

2019-05 to 2021-12-14 | Post Doc (Department of Infectious Diseases and Epidemiology)
Employment
Source: Self-asserted source
Swapnil Mishra

Australian National University: Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, AU

2013-07 to 2019-05 | Teaching Assistant (Research School of Computer Science)
Employment
Source: Self-asserted source
Swapnil Mishra

Education and qualifications (3)

Australian National University: Canberra, ACT, AU

2015-07 to 2019-12 | PhD (Research School of Computer Science)
Education
Source: Self-asserted source
Swapnil Mishra

Australian National University: Canberra, ACT, AU

2012-07 to 2014-07 | Master of Computing (Hons.) (Research School of Computer Science)
Education
Source: Self-asserted source
Swapnil Mishra

Maharashtra Institute of Technology: Pune, Maharashtra, IN

2005-08 to 2009-05 | Bachelor of Engineering(Computer Engineering) (Department of Computer Engineering)
Education
Source: Self-asserted source
Swapnil Mishra

Works (50 of 56)

Items per page:
Page 1 of 2

Deep Learning and MCMC with aggVAE for Shifting Administrative Boundaries: Mapping Malaria Prevalence in Kenya

2024 | Book chapter
Contributors: Elizaveta Semenova; Swapnil Mishra; Samir Bhatt; Seth Flaxman; H Juliette T Unwin
Source: check_circle
Crossref

Ethnicity and anthropometric deficits in children: A cross-sectional analysis of national survey data from 18 countries in sub-Saharan Africa

PLOS Global Public Health
2024-12-31 | Journal article
Contributors: Lucy S. Tusting; Julia Robinson; Swapnil Mishra; Harry S. Gibson; Steven W. Lindsay; Daniel J. Weiss; Seth Flaxman; Samir Bhatt
Source: check_circle
Crossref

Impact of vaccination on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the UK: a modelling study

2024-09-07 | Preprint
Contributors: Nieves Derqui; Swapnil Mishra; Wes R Hinsley; Samir Bhatt; Daniel J Laydon
Source: check_circle
Crossref

Comparative impact assessment of COVID-19 policy interventions in five South Asian countries using reported and estimated unreported death counts during 2020-2021

PLOS Global Public Health
2023-12-27 | Journal article
Contributors: Ritoban Kundu; Vijaykrishna Dhanasekaran; Jyotishka Datta; Debashree Ray; Swapnil Mishra; Rupam Bhattacharyya; Lauren Zimmermann; Bhramar Mukherjee
Source: check_circle
Crossref

Ethnicity and anthropometric deficits in children: a cross-sectional analysis of national survey data from 18 countries in sub-Saharan Africa

2023-10-10 | Preprint
Contributors: Lucy S. Tusting; Harry S. Gibson; Swapnil Mishra; Steven W. Lindsay; Daniel J. Weiss; Seth Flaxman; Samir Bhatt
Source: check_circle
Crossref

Application of referenced thermodynamic integration to Bayesian model selection

PLOS ONE
2023-08-14 | Journal article
Contributors: Iwona Hawryluk; Mohammadreza Hadizadeh; Swapnil Mishra; Seth Flaxman; Samir Bhatt; Thomas A. Mellan
Source: check_circle
Crossref

Machine learning models of healthcare expenditures predicting mortality: A cohort study of spousal bereaved Danish individuals

PLOS ONE
2023-08-07 | Journal article
Contributors: Alexandros Katsiferis; Amna Tariq; Samir Bhatt; Laust Hvas Mortensen; Swapnil Mishra; Majken Karoline Jensen; Rudi G. J. Westendorp
Source: check_circle
Crossref

A dataset of non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 in Europe

Scientific Data
2022 | Other | Author
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

9e8f3057-22f4-4644-9c6e-64ce5aea8509

WOSUID:

000777153400011

EID:

2-s2.0-85127445064

Contributors: George Altman; Janvi Ahuja; Joshua Teperowski Monrad; Gurpreet Dhaliwal; Charlie Rogers-Smith; Gavin Leech; Benedict Snodin; Jonas B. Sandbrink; Lukas Finnveden; Alexander John Norman et al.
Source: check_circle
University of Copenhagen

$$\pi $$VAE: a stochastic process prior for Bayesian deep learning with MCMC

Statistics and Computing
2022-12 | Journal article
Contributors: Swapnil Mishra; Seth Flaxman; Tresnia Berah; Harrison Zhu; Mikko Pakkanen; Samir Bhatt
Source: check_circle
Crossref
grade
Preferred source (of 3)‎

PriorVAE: encoding spatial priors with variational autoencoders for small-area estimation

Journal of The Royal Society Interface
2022-06 | Journal article
Contributors: Elizaveta Semenova; Yidan Xu; Adam Howes; Theo Rashid; Samir Bhatt; Swapnil Mishra; Seth Flaxman
Source: check_circle
Crossref

Database of epidemic trends and control measures during the first wave of COVID-19 in mainland China

International Journal of Infectious Diseases
2021 | Journal article | Author
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

118e9191-e0cb-4486-a487-c453423e56c6

EID:

2-s2.0-85097802239

Contributors: Han Fu; Haowei Wang; Xiaoyue Xi; Adhiratha Boonyasiri; Yuanrong Wang; Wes Hinsley; Keith J. Fraser; Ruth McCabe; Daniela Olivera Mesa; Janetta Skarp et al.
Source: check_circle
University of Copenhagen

Is the cure really worse than the disease? The health impacts of lockdowns during COVID-19

BMJ Global Health
2021 | Other | Author
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

6d3d2881-34a4-46e1-b5d4-356a56a6114d

WOSUID:

000675424700001

EID:

2-s2.0-85110661014

Contributors: Gideon Meyerowitz-Katz; Samir Bhatt; Oliver Ratmann; Jan Markus Brauner; Seth Flaxman; Swapnil Mishra; Mrinank Sharma; Søren Mindermann; Valerie Bradley; Michaela Vollmer et al.
Source: check_circle
University of Copenhagen
grade
Preferred source (of 2)‎

Genomic characterization and epidemiology of an emerging SARS-CoV-2 variant in Delhi, India

Science
2021-11-19 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1231212

Part of ISSN: 0036-8075
WOSUID:

WOS:000720789200036

Contributors: Mahesh S Dhar; Robin Marwal; V S Radhakrishnan; Kalaiarasan Ponnusamy; Bani Jolly; Rahul C Bhoyar; Viren Sardana; Salwa Naushin; Mercy Rophina; Thomas Mellan et al.
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 3)‎

SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 Delta variant replication and immune evasion

Nature
2021-11-04 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1225242

Part of ISSN: 0028-0836
WOSUID:

WOS:000706977200001

Contributors: Petra Mlcochova; Steven A Kemp; Mahesh Shanker Dhar; Guido Papa; Bo Meng; Isabella A T M Ferreira; Rawlings Datir; Dami A Collier; Anna Albecka; Sujeet Singh et al.
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 3)‎

Understanding the effectiveness of government interventions against the resurgence of COVID-19 in Europe

Nature Communications
2021-10-05 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1226004

Part of ISSN: 2041-1723
WOSUID:

WOS:000704007700014

Contributors: Samir Bhatt
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 3)‎

Comparing the responses of the UK, Sweden and Denmark to COVID-19 using counterfactual modelling

Scientific Reports
2021-08-11 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1222641

Part of ISSN: 2045-2322
WOSUID:

WOS:000684343800019

Contributors: Swapnil Mishra; James A Scott; Daniel Laydon; Seth Flaxman; Axel Gandy; Thomas Mellan; H. Juliette T. Unwin; Michaela Vollmer; Helen Coupland; Oliver Ratmann et al.
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 3)‎

Changing composition of SARS-CoV-2 lineages and rise of Delta variant in England

EClinicalMedicine
2021-07-31 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1221961

Part of ISSN: 2589-5370
WOSUID:

WOS:000704058900023

Contributors: Swapnil Mishra; Soren Mindermann; Mrinank Sharma; Charles Whittaker; Thomas Mellan; Thomas Wilton; Dimitra Klapsa; Ryan Mate; Martin Fritzsche; Maria Zambon et al.
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 3)‎

Gaussian process nowcasting: application to COVID-19 mortality reporting

2021-07-27 | Conference paper
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1199921

Contributors: Iwona Hawryluk; Henrique Hoeltgebaum; Swapnil Mishra; Xenia Miscouridou; Ricardo P Schnekenberg; Charles Whittaker; Michaela Vollmer; Seth Flaxman; Samir Bhatt; Thomas Mellan
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London

A modified two-process Knox test for investigating the relationship between law enforcement opioid seizures and overdoses

Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
2021-06-30 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1214185

Part of ISSN: 1364-5021
WOSUID:

WOS:000660777400001

Contributors: G Mohler; Swapnil Mishra; B Ray; L Magee; P Huynh; M Canada; D O'Donnell; S Flaxman
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 2)‎

Maps and metrics of insecticide-treated net access, use, and nets-per-capita in Africa from 2000-2020

Nature Communications
2021-06-11 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1214344

Part of ISSN: 2041-1723
WOSUID:

WOS:000663757900005

Contributors: Amelia Bertozzi-Villa; Caitlin A Bever; Hannah Koenker; Daniel J Weiss; Camilo Vargas-Ruiz; Anita K Nandi; Harry S Gibson; Joseph Harris; Katherine E Battle; Susan F Rumisha et al.
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 3)‎

Quantifying Online News Media Coverage of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Text Mining Study and Resource

Journal of Medical Internet Research
2021-06-02 | Journal article
Contributors: Konrad Krawczyk; Tadeusz Chelkowski; Daniel J Laydon; Swapnil Mishra; Denise Xifara; Benjamin Gibert; Seth Flaxman; Thomas Mellan; Veit Schwämmle; Richard Röttger et al.
Source: check_circle
Crossref
grade
Preferred source (of 5)‎

Genomics and epidemiology of the P.1 SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus, Brazil

Science
2021-05-21 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1204158

Part of ISSN: 0036-8075
WOSUID:

WOS:000653997000037

Contributors: Nuno Rodrigues Faria; Thomas Mellan; Charles Whittaker; Ingra M Claro; Darlan da S Candido; Swapnil Mishra; Myuki A E Crispim; Flavia C Sales; Iwona Hawryluk; John T McCrone et al.
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 3)‎

Assessing transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England

Nature
2021-05-13 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1204964

Part of ISSN: 0028-0836
WOSUID:

WOS:000642083100001

Contributors: Erik Volz; Swapnil Mishra; Meera Chand; Jeffrey C Barrett; Rob Johnson; Lily Geidelberg; Wes R Hinsley; Daniel Laydon; Gavin Dabrera; Áine O'Toole et al.
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 4)‎

Modelling the impact of the Tier system on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the UK between the first and second national lockdowns

BMJ Open
2021-04-22 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1206782

Part of ISSN: 2044-6055
WOSUID:

WOS:000643741800003

Contributors: Daniel Laydon; Swapnil Mishra; Wes Hinsley; Pantelis Samartsidis; Seth Flaxman; Axel Gandy; Neil Ferguson; Samir Bhatt
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 4)‎

Using Hawkes Processes to model imported and local malaria cases in near-elimination settings

PLoS Computational Biology
2021-04-01 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1163401

Part of ISSN: 1553-734X
WOSUID:

WOS:000636466800005

Contributors: H. Juliette T. Unwin; Isobel Routledge; Seth Flaxman; Marian-Andrei Rizoiu; Shengjie Lai; Justin Cohen; Daniel J Weiss; Swapnil Mishra; Samir Bhatt
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 3)‎

Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States

Science
2021-03-26 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1174569

Part of ISSN: 0036-8075
WOSUID:

WOS:000636043400032

Contributors: Mélodie Monod; Alexandra Pereira Blenkinsop; Xiaoyue Xi; Daniel Hebert; Sivan Bershan; Simon Tietze; Marc Baguelin; Valerie C Bradley; Yu Chen; Helen Coupland et al.
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 2)‎

Environmental drivers of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 transmission intensity

2021-03-12 | Other
Contributors: Thomas P. Smith; Ilaria Dorigatti; Swapnil Mishra; Erik Volz; Patrick G. T. Walker; Manon Ragonnet-Cronin; Michael Tristem; William D. Pearse
Source: check_circle
Crossref

State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States

Nature Communications
2020-12-03 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1179842

Part of ISSN: 2041-1723
WOSUID:

WOS:000608522800008

Contributors: H. Juliette T. Unwin; Swapnil Mishra; Valerie Bradley; Axel Gandy; Thomas Mellan; Helen Coupland; Jonathan Ish-Horowicz; Michaela Vollmer; Charles Whittaker; Sarah Filippi et al.
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 2)‎

Semi-Mechanistic Bayesian Modeling of COVID-19 with Renewal Processes

2020-12-01 | Other
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1205626

Contributors: Samir Bhatt; Neil Ferguson; Seth Flaxman; Axel Gandy; Swapnil Mishra; James A Scott
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London

Inference of COVID-19 epidemiological distributions from Brazilian hospital data

Journal of The Royal Society Interface
2020-11 | Journal article
Contributors: Iwona Hawryluk; Thomas A. Mellan; Henrique Hoeltgebaum; Swapnil Mishra; Ricardo P. Schnekenberg; Charles Whittaker; Harrison Zhu; Axel Gandy; Christl A. Donnelly; Seth Flaxman et al.
Source: check_circle
Crossref
grade
Preferred source (of 3)‎

A COVID-19 Model for Local Authorities of the United Kingdom

2020-11-27 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1186938

Contributors: Swapnil Mishra; Jamie Scott; Harrison Zhu; Neil M Ferguson; Samir Bhatt; Seth Flaxman; Axel Gandy
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 2)‎

Referenced Thermodynamic Integration for Bayesian Model Selection: Application to COVID-19 Model Selection

2020-09-08 | Other
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1174160

Contributors: Iwona Hawryluk; Swapnil Mishra; Seth Flaxman; Samir Bhatt; Thomas Mellan
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London

Evolution and epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil

Science
2020-09-04 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1162463

Part of ISSN: 0036-8075
WOSUID:

WOS:000567525400055

Contributors: Darlan S Candido; Ingra M Claro; Jaqueline G de Jesus; William M Souza; Filipe R R Moreira; Simon Dellicour; Thomas Mellan; Louis du Plessis; Rafael H M Pereira; Flavia C S Sales et al.
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 4)‎

Potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria in low-income and middle-income countries: a modelling study

The Lancet Global Health
2020-09-01 | Journal article | Author
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

72a3da4d-f2e7-408c-ae81-c4f7ba77aaa1

EID:

2-s2.0-85088803339

Contributors: Alexandra B. Hogan; Britta L. Jewell; Ellie Sherrard-Smith; Juan F. Vesga; Oliver J. Watson; Charles Whittaker; Arran Hamlet; Jennifer A. Smith; Peter Winskill; Robert Verity et al.
Source: check_circle
University of Copenhagen

Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo'

Nature
2020-08-20 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1159125

Part of ISSN: 0028-0836
WOSUID:

WOS:000556239500001

Contributors: Enrico Lavezzo; Elisa Franchin; Constanze Ciavarella; Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg; Luisa Barzon; Claudia Del Vecchio; Lucia Rossi; Riccardo Manganelli; Arianna Loregian; Nicolò Navarin et al.
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 3)‎

Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe

Nature
2020-08-13 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1155389

Part of ISSN: 0028-0836
WOSUID:

WOS:000556239300001

Contributors: Seth Flaxman; Swapnil Mishra; Axel Gandy; H. Juliette T. Unwin; Thomas Mellan; Helen Coupland; Charles Whittaker; Harrison Zhu; Tresnia Berah; Jeff Imai-Eaton et al.
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 4)‎

A unified machine learning approach to time series forecasting applied to demand at emergency departments

2020-07-13 | Preprint
Source: Self-asserted source
Swapnil Mishra

On the derivation of the renewal equation from an age-dependent branching process: an epidemic modelling perspective

2020-06-30 | Other
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1159530

Contributors: Swapnil Mishra; Tresnia Berah; Thomas Mellan; H. Juliette T. Unwin; Michaela A Vollmer; Kris Varun Parag; Axel Gandy; Seth Flaxman; Samir Bhatt
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London

On the derivation of the renewal equation from an age-dependent branching process: an epidemic modelling perspective

2020-06-30 | Preprint
Source: Self-asserted source
Swapnil Mishra

Have deaths from COVID-19 in Europe plateaued due to herd immunity?

The Lancet
2020-06-20 | Journal article
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1155782

Part of ISSN: 0140-6736
WOSUID:

WOS:000552732200003

Contributors: Lucy Okell; Robert Verity; Oliver Watson; Swapnil Mishra; Patrick Walker; Charles Whittaker; Aris Katzourakis; Christl Donnelly; Steven Riley; Azra Ghani et al.
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 2)‎

The impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression in low- and middle-income countries

Science
2020-06-12 | Journal article
Part of ISSN: 0036-8075
Part of ISSN: 1095-9203
Source: Self-asserted source
Swapnil Mishra
grade
Preferred source (of 3)‎

Report 21: Estimating COVID-19 cases and reproduction number in Brazil

2020-05-08 | Report
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1149481

Contributors: Thomas Mellan; Henrique Hoeltgebaum; Swapnil Mishra; Charles Whittaker; Ricardo Schnekenberg; Axel Gandy; H. Juliette T. Unwin; Michaela Vollmer; Helen Coupland; Iwona Hawryluk et al.
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 2)‎

Report 20: A sub-national analysis of the rate of transmission of Covid-19 in Italy

2020-05-04 | Report
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1148518

Contributors: Michaela Vollmer; Swapnil Mishra; H. Juliette T. Unwin; Axel Gandy; Thomas Melan; Valerie Bradley; Harrison Zhu; Helen Coupland; Iwona Hawryluk; Michael Hutchinson et al.
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 2)‎

Estimating the number of infections and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in European countries: technical description update

2020-04-23 | Preprint
Source: Self-asserted source
Swapnil Mishra

Tracking progress towards malaria elimination in China: Individual-level estimates of transmission and its spatiotemporal variation using a diffusion network approach

PLOS Computational Biology
2020-03-23 | Journal article
Contributors: Isobel Routledge; Mercedes Pascual; Shengjie Lai; Katherine E. Battle; Azra C. Ghani; Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez; Kyle B. Gustafson; Swapnil Mishra; Juliette Unwin; Joshua L. Proctor et al.
Source: check_circle
Crossref
grade
Preferred source (of 2)‎

$π$VAE: Encoding stochastic process priors with variational autoencoders

2020-02-17 | Preprint
Source: Self-asserted source
Swapnil Mishra

Bridging Models for Popularity Prediction on Social Media

PROCEEDINGS OF THE TWELFTH ACM INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON WEB SEARCH AND DATA MINING (WSDM'19)
2019 | Conference paper
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1096484

WOSUID:

WOS:000482120400102

Contributors: Swapnil Mishra
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London

Linking Models for Collective Attention in Social Media

2019 | Dissertation/Thesis
Source: Self-asserted source
Swapnil Mishra

Modeling popularity in asynchronous social media streams with recurrent neural networks

12th International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media, ICWSM 2018
2018 | Conference paper
Source: Self-asserted source
Swapnil Mishra
grade
Preferred source (of 2)‎

SIR-Hawkes: Linking Epidemic Models and Hawkes Processes to Model Diffusions in Finite Populations

WEB CONFERENCE 2018: PROCEEDINGS OF THE WORLD WIDE WEB CONFERENCE (WWW2018)
2018 | Conference paper
SOURCE-WORK-ID:

1096486

WOSUID:

WOS:000460379000041

Contributors: Marian-Andrei Rizoiu; Swapnil Mishra; Quyu Kong; Mark Carman; Lexing Xie
Source: check_circle
Imperial College London
grade
Preferred source (of 2)‎
Items per page:
Page 1 of 2

Peer review (9 reviews for 9 publications/grants)

Review activity for BMJ open. (1)
Review activity for Communications medicine. (1)
Review activity for Machine learning. (1)
Review activity for Nature (1)
Review activity for Nature communications (1)
Review activity for PLoS computational biology. (1)
Review activity for PloS one. (1)
Review activity for SIAM review. (1)
Review activity for Statistics and Computing (1)