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Biography

Renato Guseo was born in San Donà di Piave, Italy, on April 21, 1951, earned his degree in Statistics and Economics summa cum laude on 31.3.1978 at University of Padua, Italy. From 1978 until 1980 he obtained research grants at Istituto di Statistica,Università Cattolica S.C. of Milan. From 1980 until 1987 he was assistant professor in Statistics at the Facoltà di Economia e Commercio dell'Università Cattolica S.C. of Milan. From 1.10.1987 until 31.10.1994 he was associate professor in Statistics at the Facoltà di Scienze Statistiche of the University of Padua. From 1.11.1994 until 31.10.1997 he was professor in Statistics (Straordinario) at the Facoltà di Economia of the University of Udine. Since 1.11.1997 he is full professor in Statistics (Ordinario) and member of the Department of Statistical Sciences of the University of Padua. Scientific memberships, Scientific activitiesPrincipal Investigator of a three years project (6/2008-5/2011): "Innovations Diffusion Processes: Differential Methods, Agent-Based Frameworks and Forecasting Methods", Fondazione Cassa di Risparmio di Padova e Rovigo; Progetti di Eccellenza 2007-2008; Local coordinator of research projects MIUR 1995, 1996, 1998-99 within Design of Experiments topics (national coordinators: prof. U. Magagnoli and prof. A. Giovagnoli); Member of Italian Statistical Society (S.I.S) since 1979; Founder-member of ASPO-Italia (Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas); Referee: Statistica Applicata, Metron, Biometrika, Journal of the Italian Statistical Society, Statistical Methods and Applications, Physica A,Technological forecasting and social change, Energy economics, Energy policy; Member of the Advisory Board of Dottorato di Ricerca in Statistica Applicata alle Scienze Economiche e Sociali of Padua;Council member of the "Centro Studi G. Levi-Cases di Economia e tecnica dell'Energia", University of Padua.Current research is on diffusion of innovations, competition and substitutionmodelling and related applications in commercialcontexts. Complex systems analysis and related modelling have a special focus onoil and gas depletion,and diffusion of emerging energy technologies. (May 5, 2014)

Activities

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Employment (4)

University of Padua : Padua, Veneto, IT

1987-09-28 to 2016-09-30 | Full Professor (Department of Statistical Sciences)
Employment
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo

University of Udine: Udine, Friuli - Venezia Giulia, IT

1994-11-01 to 1997-10-31 | Professor (Department of Statistical Sciences)
Employment
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo

Università degli Studi di Padova : Padova, Veneto, IT

1987-10-01 to 1994-10-31 | Associate professor (Department of Statistical Sciences)
Employment
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo

Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore: Milano, Lombardia, IT

1980-11-01 to 1987-09-30 | Assistant professor (Institute of Statistics)
Employment
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo

Works (30)

Forecasting: theory and practice

International Journal of Forecasting
2022 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.11.001
EID:

2-s2.0-85123082516

Part of ISSN: 01692070
Contributors: Petropoulos, F.; Apiletti, D.; Assimakopoulos, V.; Babai, M.Z.; Barrow, D.K.; Ben Taieb, S.; Bergmeir, C.; Bessa, R.J.; Bijak, J.; Boylan, J.E. et al.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Modelling dynamic market potential: Identifying hidden automata networks in the diffusion of pharmaceutical drugs

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
2021-11 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2021.126214
Part of ISSN: 0378-4371
Contributors: Renato Guseo; Reinhard Schuster
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo
grade
Preferred source (of 2)‎

Forecasting: theory and practice

arXiv
2020 | Other
EID:

2-s2.0-85110988416

Part of ISSN: 23318422
Contributors: Petropoulos, F.; Apiletti, D.; Assimakopoulos, V.; Babai, M.Z.; Barrow, D.K.; Taieb, S.B.; Bergmeir, C.; Bessa, R.J.; Bijak, J.; Boylan, J.E. et al.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Has the iPhone cannibalized the iPad? An asymmetric competition model

Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
2020-01-23 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1002/asmb.2505
Part of ISSN: 1524-1904
Part of ISSN: 1526-4025
Contributors: Mariangela Guidolin; Renato Guseo
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo
grade
Preferred source (of 2)‎

Regular and promotional sales in new product life cycles: Competition and forecasting

Computers and Industrial Engineering
2019 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.cie.2019.02.026
EID:

2-s2.0-85061959486
Contributors: Guidolin, M.; Guseo, R.; Mortarino, C.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

On inverse product cannibalisation: A new Lotka-Volterra model for asymmetric competition in the ICTs

arXiv
2018 | Other
EID:

2-s2.0-85093267940

Part of ISSN: 23318422
Contributors: Guidolin, M.; Guseo, R.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Pre-launch forecasting of a pharmaceutical drug

International Journal of Pharmaceutical and Healthcare Marketing
2017 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1108/IJPHM-07-2016-0036
EID:

2-s2.0-85033211871
Contributors: Guseo, R.; Dalla Valle, A.; Furlan, C.; Guidolin, M.; Mortarino, C.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Has the Fukushima accident influenced short-term consumption in the evolution of nuclear energy? An analysis of the world and seven leading countries

Technological Forecasting and Social Change
2016 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.04.004
EID:

2-s2.0-84981764661
Contributors: Furlan, C.; Guidolin, M.; Guseo, R.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Latent heterogeneity effects in modelling individual hazards: A non-proportional approach

Technological Forecasting and Social Change
2016 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.01.027
EID:

2-s2.0-84957921971
Contributors: Guseo, R.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

The German energy transition: Modeling competition and substitution between nuclear power and Renewable Energy Technologies

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
2016 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2016.03.022
EID:

2-s2.0-84961588457
Contributors: Guidolin, M.; Guseo, R.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Diffusion of innovations dynamics, biological growth and catenary function

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
2016-12 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2016.07.015
Contributors: Renato Guseo
Source: check_circle
Crossref
grade
Preferred source (of 2)‎

Heterogeneity in diffusion of innovations modelling: A few fundamental types

Technological Forecasting and Social Change
2015 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.02.023
EID:

2-s2.0-84922243848
Contributors: Guseo, R.; Guidolin, M.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Homogeneous and heterogeneous diffusion models: Algerian natural gas production

Technological Forecasting and Social Change
2015 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.05.011
EID:

2-s2.0-84922291666
Contributors: Guseo, R.; Mortarino, C.; Darda, M.A.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Modeling competition between two pharmaceutical drugs using innovation diffusion models

Annals of Applied Statistics
2015 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1214/15-AOAS868
EID:

2-s2.0-84960367427
Contributors: Guseo, R.; Mortarino, C.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Nonlinear production path and an alternative reserves estimate for South Asian natural gas

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
2015 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2015.03.069
EID:

2-s2.0-84925815095
Contributors: Darda, M.A.; Guseo, R.; Mortarino, C.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Technological change in the U.S. music industry: Within-product, cross-product and churn effects between competing blockbusters

Technological Forecasting and Social Change
2015 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2015.06.023
EID:

2-s2.0-84936984620
Contributors: Guidolin, M.; Guseo, R.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Modelling seasonality in innovation diffusion

Technological Forecasting and Social Change
2014 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.08.017
EID:

2-s2.0-84902079533
Contributors: Guidolin, M.; Guseo, R.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Multivariate nonlinear least squares: robustness and efficiency of standard versus Beauchamp and Cornell methodologies

Computational Statistics
2014 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1007/s00180-014-0509-y
EID:

2-s2.0-84911995523
Contributors: Guseo, R.; Mortarino, C.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Within-brand and cross-brand word-of-mouth for sequential multi-innovation diffusions

IMA Journal of Management Mathematics
2014 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1093/imaman/dpt008
EID:

2-s2.0-84902967450
Contributors: Guseo, R.; Mortarino, C.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

A nuclear power renaissance?

Technological Forecasting and Social Change
2012 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2012.05.014
EID:

2-s2.0-84867097491
Contributors: Guidolin, M.; Guseo, R.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Sequential market entries and competition modelling in multi-innovation diffusions

European Journal of Operational Research
2012 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2011.08.018
EID:

2-s2.0-80053895515
Contributors: Guseo, R.; Mortarino, C.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Market potential dynamics in innovation diffusion: Modelling the synergy between two driving forces

Technological Forecasting and Social Change
2011 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.003
EID:

2-s2.0-78649744719
Contributors: Guseo, R.; Guidolin, M.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Worldwide cheap and heavy oil productions: A long-term energy model

Energy Policy
2011 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2011.04.060
EID:

2-s2.0-79960706226
Contributors: Guseo, R.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Cellular Automata with network incubation in information technology diffusion

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
2010 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2010.02.007
EID:

2-s2.0-77949918978
Contributors: Guseo, R.; Guidolin, M.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Correction to the paper "optimal product launch times in a duopoly: Balancing life-cycle revenues with product cost"

Operations Research
2010 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1287/opre.1100.0811
EID:

2-s2.0-77958495878
Contributors: Guseo, R.; Mortarino, C.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Partial and ecological correlation: A common three-term covariance decomposition

Statistical Methods and Applications
2010 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1007/s10260-009-0117-0
EID:

2-s2.0-75949100150
Contributors: Guseo, R.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Modelling a dynamic market potential: A class of automata networks for diffusion of innovations

Technological Forecasting and Social Change
2009 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2008.10.005
EID:

2-s2.0-67349105956
Contributors: Guseo, R.; Guidolin, M.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Cellular automata and Riccati equation models for diffusion of innovations

Statistical Methods and Applications
2008 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1007/s10260-007-0059-3
EID:

2-s2.0-47249106915
Contributors: Guseo, R.; Guidolin, M.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

World Oil Depletion Models: Price effects compared with strategic or technological interventions

Technological Forecasting and Social Change
2007 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2006.01.004
EID:

2-s2.0-34147126948
Contributors: Guseo, R.; Dalla Valle, A.; Guidolin, M.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Oil and gas depletion: Diffusion models and forecasting under strategic intervention

Statistical Methods and Applications
2005 | Journal article
DOI: 10.1007/s10260-005-0118-6
EID:

2-s2.0-28944432921
Contributors: Guseo, R.; Dalla Valle, A.
Source: Self-asserted source
Renato Guseo via Scopus - Elsevier

Peer review (4 reviews for 2 publications/grants)

Review activity for Computational statistics. (1)
Review activity for Technological forecasting and social change. (3)
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